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Topic: prediction markets

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robinhanson
robinhanson posted a blog entry
Hewitt on Futarchy
Chris Masse taunted, “If he had balls, Robin Hanson would debate Paul Hewitt, instead” of Mencius Moldbug.  Monday...
 
maverickmath
maverickmath shared an item
Forums Are Meta-Methods
How to pick city policies, vs. how to pick the mayor.How to cook a meal, vs. how to pick a restaurant.How to win a game, vs. how to decide which team won.How to do a study, vs. how to pick a study to publish.These are four examples of methods vs....
 
robinhanson
robinhanson posted a blog entry
Forums Are Meta-Methods
How to pick city policies, vs. how to pick the mayor.How to cook a meal, vs. how to pick a restaurant.How to win a game, vs....
 
greggles
greggles posted a blog entry
The real Google Phone (Nexus One) - for sale January 2010 (Hat tip: anonymous at Hubdub)
I'm always curious about technology products and product launches, but an interesting thing happened recently with the launch...
 
Eben T
Eben T shared an item
Prediction Markets vs. Super Crunching: Which Can Better Predict How Justice Kennedy Will Vote?
One of the great unresolved questions of predictive analytics is trying to figure out when prediction markets will produce better predictions than good old-fashion mining of historic data. I think that there is fairly good evidence that either approach...
 
robknight
robknight posted a blog entry
A peer-to-peer future for money and markets?
As the recession grinds on, the question of "what to do about the banks" remains on the agenda. Today the government...
 
robinhanson
robinhanson posted a blog entry
Rah Price Manipulators
Matt Yglasias complains Climate Change Futures Markets would be manipulated:This idea has some merit, but let’s not get...
 
robinhanson
robinhanson posted a blog entry
It’s News On Academia, Not Climate
Electronic files that were stolen from a prominent climate research center and made public last week provide a rare glimpse...
 
robinhanson
robinhanson posted a blog entry
Combo Prediction Markets Talk
I talked Friday at prediction parkets summit, on “Combinatorial Prediction Markets.”  Here are slides and audio.
 
DumbAgent
DumbAgent posted a blog entry
Influenza’s New Market
We at Dumbagent have always been fans of the Iowa Electronics Market, even using their Influenza Prediction Market as an...