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Topic: General Election

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mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Should you be backing April at 16/1?
Could April 8th be the day?The veteran FT political columnist, Sue Cameron, has what could be a shrewd point this morning on...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
This must be the political interview of the year?
Listen to the John Hutton interviewIs this a foretaste of what’s to come?If you have not caught up yet with the John...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Which Tories will need to watch their backs for Rory?
Could he take over if it goes pear-shaped for Dave?I’ve just listened on catch-up to last Friday’s edition of...
 
wonkotsane
wonkotsane posted tweets
@jiminthemorning Labour and Tories spent £17m in 2005 general election, they don't need free publicity.
@jiminthemorning UKIP had 4th largest share of vote in 2005 general election, Greens were 6th and BNP 7th. Can't find who was 5th. So yes...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Should the Indy/Comres have heeded Sir Humphrey’s advice?
Isn’t it all about how the questions are framed?The above clip always makes me chuckle and although it’s from a...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
The polling see-saw continues
CON 38% (41) LAB 29% (24)LD 19% (21)OTHERS 14% (14)It’s now Labour up five from Comres in just nine daysIn keeping...
 
Fausty
Fausty posted a tweet
The EU could rule the UK's general election ILLEGAL. http://bit.ly/8Eeto4
 
Prodicus
Prodicus posted a blog entry
Cameron to debate with Brown and Clegg?
A very courageous decision, Shadow Prime Minister.
3 days ago Prodicus | Topics: David Cameron, general..., tv
 
NotaSheep
NotaSheep posted a blog entry
The election debates - some points
Gordon Brown and Peter Mandelson have pulled their last legal/moral card out of the pack by agreeing to a series of three live...
 
denverthen
denverthen posted a blog entry
Class Hatred is Obsolete - so is Labour
I'm not proud to be what the Left would regard as "middle class" because I simply don't care. By the same token, I try not...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
What this going to do to the campaign?
SkyNewsWhy’s Cameron taking such a gamble?So now we have it. British election campaigns are never going to be the same...
 
<em>jaker.phillips</em>
jaker.phillips posted a blog entry
Right to self-defence
The recent case about Munir Hussain who chased and beat a burglar, causing him serious injuries has, apparently, lead to an...
 
Dave Cross
Dave Cross posted a tweet
If we can get RATM to number 1 then perhaps the general election isn't so much of a foregone conclusion.
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Was it the the PBR that changed the climate?
Newspaper front pages December 10Is the Bob Worcester analysis on the nail?Sir Robert Worcester, founder of MORI, posted this...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
The MORI poll has a 17pt lead
CON 43% (37) LAB 26% (31)LD 20% (17)OTHERS 11% (16)So all the speculation was wrongNews is just coming in of the much...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Labour move up a bit in new PB Angus Reid poll
CON 40% (40) LAB 24% (23)LD 20%(19)OTHERS 15% (18)And others decline a bit tooThese are the figures just in from our...
6 days ago politicalbetting.com | Topics: General...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Spot the one which didn’t politically weight its sample?
UKPollingReportLook what happens to Labour when pollsters don’t adjustThe June 4th election for the EU parliament was...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Is the “30pc or more” the bet for “swing-back” believers
PaddyPower Should you be piling on at 13/8?Given recent polls and the widespread belief that government’s always...
 
jailhouselawyer
jailhouselawyer posted a tweet
The next General Election will fail to comply with Article 3 of the First Protocol of the Convention. What can we do about it?
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
What if MORI also has a sample like this?
ICMResearchCould it even show Labour to be level-pegging?Thanks to the Lib Dem poll watcher, Mark Senior, on a previous...
 
John D
John D posted a tweet
Telegraph reveals new artists impression of Gordon Brown when results come in at next general election : http://bit.ly/85G9rD
 
Paul Burgin
Paul Burgin posted a blog entry
Lord Ashcroft and Tax
I am glad more attention is being given to this! For all the Conservatives desire to see power fall into their lap asap, this...
 
The_Wilted_Rose
The_Wilted_Rose posted a blog entry
Would we be better off with a hung parliament?
I’ve done quite a bit of work leafleting for Conservative candidates in marginal seats. Also, I have delivered leaflets...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
CON MAJ moves down 8 seat on PB Index
The PB Index: CON MAJ 52 (-8)When we last calculated the PB Index just four days ago the differing numbers from the two...
 
NotaSheep
NotaSheep posted a blog entry
So is it a March general election
Gordon Brown can't risk having his puppet Chancellor present a Budget in March 2010, a budget that would have to show...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Will tactical voting keep most of these orange?
York Outer - 0.44% (Lab 27%)Romsey & Southampton N: 0.46% (Lab 10.9%)Cheltenham: 0.66% (Lab 11.8%)Eastleigh: 1.12% (Lab...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Will the weekend polls be closer to YouGov or ComRes
Can we expect a firmer view on the PBR reaction?Those who were hoping that the polls taken in the immediate aftermath of...
 
Lena L
Lena L posted a tweet
RT @Crislol Sign of the times? You decide. 10 million people voted in the UK X Factor. More than who voted in the last general election.
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
How will Aghanistan be an election issue?
Will Brown get credit for staying in a war-zone?Over the past ten days there’ve been visits to Afghanistan by first...
10 days ago politicalbetting.com | Topics: General...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
A special Sean Fear Slot…..
What do local by elections tell us?Thursday’s local by-election results were among the worst that I can remember for the...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
But the YouGov family reports a Labour recovery
CON 40%(40) LAB 31%(27)LD 16%(18)OTHERS 13% (15)So which pollsters do you believe?After the ComRes 17 point Tory lead ...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Should the Tories be gunning for Vince?
Why’s the LDs biggest asset getting such an easy ride?There’ve not been many winners from the economic crisis,...
12 days ago politicalbetting.com | Topics: General..., Lib Dems
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Will the old Tony Blair magic work again?
GuardianCan he get away with admitting that he lied?In what the Guardian is describing as a “big shift in his...
12 days ago politicalbetting.com | Topics: General..., Labour
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Who benefits when they’re not on the ballot?
Making more sense of the rise of the “others”We had an interesting additional voting intention question in the...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Will five or more of these lose their seats?
What should your choice be on the new Ladbrokes market?We’re getting closer to the day and the bookmakers are getting...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
How valid is the quickie PBR poll in the Times?
Politicalbetting.com - Thursday evening after the 2008 budgetIs instant polling reaction a guide to anything?Every Friday...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
The PB/Angus Reid cross-tabs
Angus Reid StrategiesShould all pollsters get their data out on the same day?Here is the main set of cross-tabs with the...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
PB/Angus Reid poll has the Tories back on 40pc
CON 40%(39) LAB 23%(22)LD 19%(21)OTHERS 18% (18)Has Labour been hurt by the PBR?In the first national voting intention...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Is it worth 6/4 that this will happen?
Could the AAA rating be lost?There’s been lots of talk about the possibility of Britain losing its triple A credit...
14 days ago politicalbetting.com | Topics: General...
 
Tim Read
Tim Read posted a blog entry
Its the Axe or Tax - the choice in 2010
I'm sure all parties will spin the choice at the next election better than this, but it ultimately comes down to the axe vs...
 
Michael Haddon
Michael Haddon posted a tweet
@olivershah No, the Fat Controller has to be @ericpickles - pulling General Election strings from under his top hat and tails.
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Has the PBR changed the media narrative?
Your papers Mr. DarlingHere is a selection is selection of today’s front pages from Sky News and the coverage is almost...
14 days ago politicalbetting.com | Topics: General..., Labour, Media
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Does the PBR point to this as the day?
Is it worth risking money on the Martin prediction?Iain Martin in his WSJ blog writes:-…It seems obvious that it was...
15 days ago politicalbetting.com | Topics: General..., Betting
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Populus Tory lead moves into single figures
CON 38%(39) LAB 30%(29)LD 20%(18)OTHERS % 11(14)This really is hung parliament territoryAs predicted in the previous...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Will Gord get a Populus bonus after his PMQ success?
Could another firm have the lead down to single figures?I’ve had it confirmed that the Populus December survey for the...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
How are “others” likely to split at the race gets tighter?
YouGov for Channel 4 June 2009Can Labour really expect to benefit most?The above is from the massive 32,268 sample YouGov...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Just how much has the gap closed?
UKPollingReportHas a “Hung Parliament” now dropped down the agenda?In preparation for my monthly polling slot for...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Does Luton matter more than the whole of Scotland?
Are SNP-Labour battles no more than a minor side-show?Anybody who reads the overnight PB threads might come to the conclusion...
 
mikes245
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Does it need an 8.5 pc swing to oust Byrne or a 12.6 one?
Which 2005 “notional” result do we believe?A couple of weeks ago it was noted here that there was a big...
 
 

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