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Topic: General Election
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mikes245 posted a blog entry
Is this how UKIP can win Buckingham?
The UKIP General-Secretary responds to Robert SmithsonOccasionally the conventional laws of party politics must be put on...
The UKIP General-Secretary responds to Robert SmithsonOccasionally the conventional laws of party politics must be put on...
Gary Revel posted a blog entry
Politics Commentary By Mathew Hulbert-The Tories are vulnerable on class
If that particular button is pressed enough it could convince thousands of people to hold their noses and vote Labour, despite...
If that particular button is pressed enough it could convince thousands of people to hold their noses and vote Labour, despite...
21 hours ago
Gary Revel Music and MLK Assassination
| Topics: Comment, Featured, Politics, UK Politics
Gary Revel Music and MLK Assassination
| Topics: Comment, Featured, Politics, UK PoliticsIan posted a blog entry
Job Centre: tools or techniques, but no jobs
Job Centre: tools or techniques, but no jobsSince the start of the recession, and climbing unemployment figures, the focus of...
Job Centre: tools or techniques, but no jobsSince the start of the recession, and climbing unemployment figures, the focus of...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Are LDs viewing the battle differently in the marginals?
YouGovIs this just a quirk or an election pointer?As PB regulars will know I keep a close eye each month on the forced choice...
YouGovIs this just a quirk or an election pointer?As PB regulars will know I keep a close eye each month on the forced choice...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Are punters waiting for an ICM poll?
Why has there been so little movement on the spreads?It’s been an extraordinary couple of weeks with two polls...
Why has there been so little movement on the spreads?It’s been an extraordinary couple of weeks with two polls...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Should Mr. Brown look back over the C&N numbers?
By-elections.co.ukCON 20,539 votes (14,162) LAB 12,679 votes (21,240)LD 6,040 votes (8,083)The contest, held on 22 May...
By-elections.co.ukCON 20,539 votes (14,162) LAB 12,679 votes (21,240)LD 6,040 votes (8,083)The contest, held on 22 May...
Fausty posted a tweet
Coincidence: Does Cameron really want to win the general election? http://bit.ly/4DPQNN
Fausty posted a blog entry
wonkotsane posted a tweet
@iaindale Ask him who he's backing as next speaker after the general election
Stuart Bruce posted a tweet
RT @campusprclare: @craigelder "thinks will be amazing stuff from activists & 3rd parties during mxt general election" #stratsm
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Will attacking Etonians win or lose votes?
Could Brown’s toff-bashing quip turn-off middle England?John Rentoul makes a good point about one aspect of...
Could Brown’s toff-bashing quip turn-off middle England?John Rentoul makes a good point about one aspect of...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Welcome to the new confident Gordon
But is there a danger when’s he’s over-confident?Anybody watching PMQs today would have seen an emboldened and...
But is there a danger when’s he’s over-confident?Anybody watching PMQs today would have seen an emboldened and...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Could a climate change split undermine Dave’s chances?
How dangerous is the issue for the Tories?Only days before the Copenhagen climate summit Andrew Grice in the Independent is...
How dangerous is the issue for the Tories?Only days before the Copenhagen climate summit Andrew Grice in the Independent is...
denverthen posted a blog entry
Cameron's Rubicon
Jame's Forsyth puts it rather well:The opinion polls are continuing to feed the story that the Tories are in trouble....
Jame's Forsyth puts it rather well:The opinion polls are continuing to feed the story that the Tories are in trouble....
Mark Pack posted a tweet
RT @libdemvoice: +++ Labour set to legislaton for a referendum on AV to be held after general election http://ldv.org.uk/17035
Paul Burgin posted a blog entry
Internet Election 2010 Discussion - Feedback
Further to my last posting, the evening was indeed successful, entertaining, and informative, although I wonder if it told us...
Further to my last posting, the evening was indeed successful, entertaining, and informative, although I wonder if it told us...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Is this the man to take over from Gord?
Could he become Labour’s William Hague?One of the problems of Mr. Brown’s style of government is that he makes...
Could he become Labour’s William Hague?One of the problems of Mr. Brown’s style of government is that he makes...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Who is going to win the 2010 polling race?
Now you can bet on the most accurate final poll?Aside from the party HQs the most tense places to be on election night will be...
Now you can bet on the most accurate final poll?Aside from the party HQs the most tense places to be on election night will be...
Man_in_a_Shed posted a blog entry
The election campaign will start after Christmas - when the voters will start paying attention
There have been some wild polls and wild events over the last few months.But I have a feeling that the none political public (...
There have been some wild polls and wild events over the last few months.But I have a feeling that the none political public (...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Could UKIP switchers cost Dave his majority?
But will it be the same in the marginals?Just looking at the detailed data for the latest ComRes poll and we see the dynamic...
But will it be the same in the marginals?Just looking at the detailed data for the latest ComRes poll and we see the dynamic...
NickAnstead posted a blog entry
Retesting the wisdom of crowds
A couple of years ago, I undertook a quick experiment, focused around the Iowa caucus of 2008. Using data from the Washington...
A couple of years ago, I undertook a quick experiment, focused around the Iowa caucus of 2008. Using data from the Washington...
CitizenAndreas posted a blog entry
Congratulations to John Cook
Just a quick post to say congratulations to John Cook, our new candidate for Norwich North. I've met John and his lovely wife...
Just a quick post to say congratulations to John Cook, our new candidate for Norwich North. I've met John and his lovely wife...
Richard posted a blog entry
David Cameron favourite to take over from Gordon Brown
It the most open secret in the world of politics that the date for the next general election will take place in May 2010 (now...
It the most open secret in the world of politics that the date for the next general election will take place in May 2010 (now...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Will day-time counts mean we have to rely more on this?
Is the wise strategy not to bet on exit polls?If there is a huge increase in the number of day-time counts, as many are...
Is the wise strategy not to bet on exit polls?If there is a huge increase in the number of day-time counts, as many are...
Mark Pack posted a tweet
New post: General election timetable, 2010 http://bit.ly/6YSmX8
Mark Pack posted a blog entry
General election timetable, 2010
There's a handy summary of the timetable for March, April, May or June 2010 general elections in a research paper produced...
There's a handy summary of the timetable for March, April, May or June 2010 general elections in a research paper produced...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Remember this poll - exactly a year ago today?
CON 37 LAB 36 LD 17ComRes: Nov 30 2008UKPollingReportWhatever happened to Brown’s Bank Bailout Bounce?On November...
CON 37 LAB 36 LD 17ComRes: Nov 30 2008UKPollingReportWhatever happened to Brown’s Bank Bailout Bounce?On November...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Are UKIP and the Lisbon driving the Tory poll decline?
BBC news - Nov 4thCan Dave win back the Tory doubters?All seventeen polls published between the end of the Tory Party...
BBC news - Nov 4thCan Dave win back the Tory doubters?All seventeen polls published between the end of the Tory Party...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Does dropping out of the 40s safety zone matter?
What does it mean for the election outcome?I’m not sure whether there’ll be any new polls in the Sunday papers and...
What does it mean for the election outcome?I’m not sure whether there’ll be any new polls in the Sunday papers and...
denverthen posted a blog entry
Gordon Brown: Not Just An Idiot...
Just got back from a spell of Christmas shopping. I know, a bit early for a bloke, but I thought I would miss the rush and I...
Just got back from a spell of Christmas shopping. I know, a bit early for a bloke, but I thought I would miss the rush and I...
NotaSheep posted a blog entry
Heading for a Conservative landslide?
Despite this Telegraph article, headlined "Poll: Tories advance on key Labour strongholdsThe Conservatives have taken a...
Despite this Telegraph article, headlined "Poll: Tories advance on key Labour strongholdsThe Conservatives have taken a...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Who is betting on the blues in Buckingham?
Is laying the Tories here an almost total certainty?Like one or two other punters, it seems, I have been taking as much as is...
Is laying the Tories here an almost total certainty?Like one or two other punters, it seems, I have been taking as much as is...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
UPDATED: Sorry folks - We’ve been subject to an elaborate hoax
CON ???? LAB ????LD ????OTHERS ?????Only detail so far - “Tories 16% ahead”According to the blog of the...
CON ???? LAB ????LD ????OTHERS ?????Only detail so far - “Tories 16% ahead”According to the blog of the...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Stand by all you punters on northern seats
Is Labour improving on the PH marginals poll?Thanks to Wibbler on the previous thread for spotting this - which looks...
Is Labour improving on the PH marginals poll?Thanks to Wibbler on the previous thread for spotting this - which looks...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Has Johnson made the wrong decision over Gary?
BBC NewsCould there be an electoral price to pay?If the Radio 5Live phone in that I was listening to this morning is anything...
BBC NewsCould there be an electoral price to pay?If the Radio 5Live phone in that I was listening to this morning is anything...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
05/05/05: When a 2.9 percent Tory deficit became 6.1
House of Commons research paperCan we expect a big shake-up in the boundary system?The above is part of a table that is...
House of Commons research paperCan we expect a big shake-up in the boundary system?The above is part of a table that is...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Could this impact on the election outcome?
SkyNewsOr will it all be forgotten by May?The latest stage of the Chilcot inquiry into the Iraq war gives a sense of problems...
SkyNewsOr will it all be forgotten by May?The latest stage of the Chilcot inquiry into the Iraq war gives a sense of problems...
Letters From A Tory posted a blog entry
Would the Tories relish a March 2010 election?
Dear Eric Pickles,As you seem to spend most of your time running round the country trying to dampen local political fires such...
Dear Eric Pickles,As you seem to spend most of your time running round the country trying to dampen local political fires such...
Fausty posted a blog entry
mikes245 posted a blog entry
What are these doing to the seat calculators?
Could their rise be disguising the scale of the swing?The big trend from almost all the polls in recent weeks week has been...
Could their rise be disguising the scale of the swing?The big trend from almost all the polls in recent weeks week has been...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
The “Super Six Predictions” part 3
This is the third and final part of the general election constituency bets by half a dozen regulars who call themselves, with...
This is the third and final part of the general election constituency bets by half a dozen regulars who call themselves, with...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Which way is MORI going to go next?
UKPollingReportCan you predicts its next set of numbers?I don’t think that there’s been a poll in recent times...
UKPollingReportCan you predicts its next set of numbers?I don’t think that there’s been a poll in recent times...
Spicy Cauldron posted a blog entry
Will the banks continue their war against the British people after today’s Supreme Court verdict?
So, at 9.45am today will the banks prove that they’re willing to become even more despised and go against government and...
So, at 9.45am today will the banks prove that they’re willing to become even more despised and go against government and...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
What does YouGov Scotland say about a “hung parliament”?
House of Commons Research paperBut how important was it going to be anywayThe latest YouGov poll of Scottish opinion has...
House of Commons Research paperBut how important was it going to be anywayThe latest YouGov poll of Scottish opinion has...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
An inconvenient truth for messrs Liddle and Macintyre
Never forget the “Golden Polling Rule?In the feeding frenzy that’s followed the Observer MORI poll we’ve...
Never forget the “Golden Polling Rule?In the feeding frenzy that’s followed the Observer MORI poll we’ve...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Spread punters unimpressed by hung parliament talk
SportingIndexCON 352-357 LAB 208-213 LD 50-53MORI moves the Labour spread by just one seatThe immediate reaction of the...
SportingIndexCON 352-357 LAB 208-213 LD 50-53MORI moves the Labour spread by just one seatThe immediate reaction of the...
Letters From A Tory posted a blog entry
Quote of the day
“Whichever party have the strongest mandate from the British people, it seems to me that they have the first right to try...
“Whichever party have the strongest mandate from the British people, it seems to me that they have the first right to try...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Can Gord now kiss goodbye to a deal with Nick?
Click here to watch today’s interviewSo it’s the vote winners that matter - not the seat winners?For several...
Click here to watch today’s interviewSo it’s the vote winners that matter - not the seat winners?For several...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Two polls, same timing, different outcomes. Eh?
How can we explain both MORI and ICM?One thing you must not do, when you see a shock polling outcome such as the survey for by...
How can we explain both MORI and ICM?One thing you must not do, when you see a shock polling outcome such as the survey for by...
mikes245 posted a blog entry
Has Labour got a by-election poll boost from MORI?
CON ?? % LAB ??%LD ??%OTHERS ??%[LAB/CON ??% ()]The much delayed survey has ?????There are reports about that a poll...
CON ?? % LAB ??%LD ??%OTHERS ??%[LAB/CON ??% ()]The much delayed survey has ?????There are reports about that a poll...
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